Oil Market Set For Major Surplus In 2027 As Supply Recovery Outpaces Demand, IEA Says

Global oil demand is projected to decline by 2.7 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2026 to 102.3 mb/d before rebounding by 2 mb/d in 2027, as per the report. (File Photo)

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The global oil industry is heading towards a major shift in market dynamics, with crude supplies expected to exceed consumption in the final quarter of 2026 and the surplus likely to widen considerably in 2027. A faster-than-anticipated recovery in production, coupled with a slower rebound in consumption, is expected to reshape the international energy market, according to the International Energy Agency's (IEA) November Oil Market Report.

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The latest assessment indicates that global oil supplies have moved ahead of demand for the first time since the outbreak of the war in Iran. The development points towards a gradual easing of the supply pressures that have affected international markets in recent months.

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"Our November supply and demand balances suggest that the global oil market will return to a surplus in 4Q26, with a more substantial build in 2027," the IEA stated.

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Global Oil Consumption Faces Another Year Of Decline

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The IEA expects worldwide oil demand to contract by 2.7 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2026, bringing average consumption to…

Original source: https://www.timesnownews.com/business-economy

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