Former President Barack Obama (centre) with Democratic nominee for US Senate Abdul El-Sayed (left) and Democratic gubernatorial nominee Jocelyn Benson.
\n\nThe chances of Democrats taking control of the US Senate have increased, with election analyst Nate Silver raising his forecast of a Democratic victory to 79% ahead of next week's midterm elections. Silver's latest estimate is up from 75% previously, following a series of strong opinion polls for Democratic candidates in key Senate races.
\n\n"Very strong polls for Democrats in individual Senate races over the past couple of days," Silver wrote on X. He added that while polls could be wrong, it was no longer reasonable to describe the Senate contest as too close to call.
\n\nSpeaking on The Argument YouTube show, Silver confirmed that his model now gave Democrats a 79% chance of winning the Senate. "That's a little bit higher than prediction markets, but I feel decent about that actually," he said.
\n\nHowever, Silver cautioned against treating the forecast as a certainty. In a post on his Substack, he said Democratic leads in key battleground states, including Texas, Ohio, Alaska and Maine, were still vulnerable to a normal-sized polling error.
\n\n"[The leads] are all just a normal-sized polling…
Original source: https://www.timesnownews.com/latest-news
